What February shows is not a downturn, but a moderation in speed. The market is adjusting to slightly higher borrowing costs, particularly in premium markets, yet the underlying imbalance between supply and demand remains intact. With listings still low and construction activity insufficient to meet population growth, price growth is slowing from the rate rise but not reversing.
The key takeaway is that despite the February rate rise, the housing market remains incredibly strong on an annual basis. Growth has returned to levels last seen in mid-2022, reinforcing that this cycle still has considerable momentum behind it.